Why I Don't Confuse a Market Prediction With an Edge

Predicting that NQ will move higher is not the same as having a trading edge.

An edge requires a repeatable method supported by evidence, with rules for entry, exit, and risk.

Even if the market eventually moves in the predicted direction, a poor entry or oversized position can still produce a bad outcome.

I focus on whether my process has demonstrated an advantage across a meaningful sample.

Being right about direction is only one part of trading well.